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	<title>
	Comments on: It&#8217;s never too early to start planning&#8230;	</title>
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	<description>is Buzz Smith</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2018 09:39:52 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>
		By: Epicurus		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2597</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Epicurus]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2018 09:39:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2597</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Another reason legacy car manufacturers may be dragging their feet on EVs: massive loss of jobs.

German Government Warns Of Massive Job Loss Due To Electric Cars

&quot;Assuming that all-electric and hybrid cars will take respectively 25% and 15% of production by 2030, some 75,000 jobs could be lost in the German automotive industry. Higher plug-in adoption would cut more than 100,000 jobs.

&quot;The reason behind such expectations are simpler production of plug-in cars compared to gasoline or diesel cars, as they have only a fraction of parts and a quicker assembly process (by around 30%).

&quot;The EV powertrain utilizes apparently only about one-sixth of the components of an ICE powertrain. Battery production will require only a fifth of the workforce, when compared with an engine plant (per set, we believe).&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another reason legacy car manufacturers may be dragging their feet on EVs: massive loss of jobs.</p>
<p>German Government Warns Of Massive Job Loss Due To Electric Cars</p>
<p>&#8220;Assuming that all-electric and hybrid cars will take respectively 25% and 15% of production by 2030, some 75,000 jobs could be lost in the German automotive industry. Higher plug-in adoption would cut more than 100,000 jobs.</p>
<p>&#8220;The reason behind such expectations are simpler production of plug-in cars compared to gasoline or diesel cars, as they have only a fraction of parts and a quicker assembly process (by around 30%).</p>
<p>&#8220;The EV powertrain utilizes apparently only about one-sixth of the components of an ICE powertrain. Battery production will require only a fifth of the workforce, when compared with an engine plant (per set, we believe).&#8221;</p>
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		<title>
		By: Epicurus		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2593</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Epicurus]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jun 2018 15:52:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2593</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2592&quot;&gt;Buzz&lt;/a&gt;.

(My memory is really bad.)

Key paragraph in the update IMO:

&quot;Things that could cause this to accelerate include: a substantial rise in gasoline prices, breakthroughs in charging/batteries, evidence and/or consequences of global climate change becoming apparent, better advertising by EV manufacturers, better educated consumers and the steady decrease in manufacturing costs.&quot;

Battery breakthroughs (a lot cheaper to manufacture, allowing much greater range and much faster charging) have been made but will not yield a commercial product for at least another 2 or 3 years from what I have seen (on YouTube) or read.

Honest, frank advertising would help.  Apparently, legacy auto makers won&#039;t do aggressive EV advertising for fear of hurting ICE sales even though the planet is burning up. Something is wrong with an economic system that rewards short-term profits over long term sustainability.  Maybe the people should have a say about what products the auto makers should be selling.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2592">Buzz</a>.</p>
<p>(My memory is really bad.)</p>
<p>Key paragraph in the update IMO:</p>
<p>&#8220;Things that could cause this to accelerate include: a substantial rise in gasoline prices, breakthroughs in charging/batteries, evidence and/or consequences of global climate change becoming apparent, better advertising by EV manufacturers, better educated consumers and the steady decrease in manufacturing costs.&#8221;</p>
<p>Battery breakthroughs (a lot cheaper to manufacture, allowing much greater range and much faster charging) have been made but will not yield a commercial product for at least another 2 or 3 years from what I have seen (on YouTube) or read.</p>
<p>Honest, frank advertising would help.  Apparently, legacy auto makers won&#8217;t do aggressive EV advertising for fear of hurting ICE sales even though the planet is burning up. Something is wrong with an economic system that rewards short-term profits over long term sustainability.  Maybe the people should have a say about what products the auto makers should be selling.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Buzz		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2592</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Buzz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jun 2018 15:19:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2592</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2590&quot;&gt;Epicurus&lt;/a&gt;.

Here&#039;s what I originally predicted, in January 2015: http://www.theev-angelist.com/tipping-point/

Here&#039;s an update, from April of this year: http://www.theev-angelist.com/predictions-revisited-or-just-call-me-nostradamus/]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2590">Epicurus</a>.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what I originally predicted, in January 2015: <a href="http://www.theev-angelist.com/tipping-point/" rel="ugc">http://www.theev-angelist.com/tipping-point/</a></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s an update, from April of this year: <a href="http://www.theev-angelist.com/predictions-revisited-or-just-call-me-nostradamus/" rel="ugc">http://www.theev-angelist.com/predictions-revisited-or-just-call-me-nostradamus/</a></p>
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		<title>
		By: Epicurus		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2591</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Epicurus]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Jun 2018 21:11:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2591</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[New impressive EV company on the rise: Byton.  Former BMW CEO and president.   First product to be an affordable SUV, out ln 2020.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKb0eiWuriE&#038;list=LLx0quQVCuvZiP-nSZoemF7w&#038;index=13]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>New impressive EV company on the rise: Byton.  Former BMW CEO and president.   First product to be an affordable SUV, out ln 2020.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKb0eiWuriE&#038;list=LLx0quQVCuvZiP-nSZoemF7w&#038;index=13" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKb0eiWuriE&#038;list=LLx0quQVCuvZiP-nSZoemF7w&#038;index=13</a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Epicurus		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2590</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Epicurus]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jun 2018 23:20:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2590</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Who will want an ICE vehicle after autos with these fantastic batteries arrive on the market?  Allegedly, they will be cheaper than their ICE equivalents.

Who wanted a slide rule after electronic calculators and computers arrived?  Museums.

My guess: somewhere between 2021 to 2023 will be the start of the ICE killer years, and EV adoption will be very rapid.  What&#039;s your guess about the timing, Buzz?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Who will want an ICE vehicle after autos with these fantastic batteries arrive on the market?  Allegedly, they will be cheaper than their ICE equivalents.</p>
<p>Who wanted a slide rule after electronic calculators and computers arrived?  Museums.</p>
<p>My guess: somewhere between 2021 to 2023 will be the start of the ICE killer years, and EV adoption will be very rapid.  What&#8217;s your guess about the timing, Buzz?</p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Buzz		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2588</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Buzz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jun 2018 11:06:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2588</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2586&quot;&gt;Epicurus&lt;/a&gt;.

One interesting tidbit: Charging that fast requires so much power that one manufacturer stated that their extreme high speed chargers would be equipped with cooled charger cables!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2586">Epicurus</a>.</p>
<p>One interesting tidbit: Charging that fast requires so much power that one manufacturer stated that their extreme high speed chargers would be equipped with cooled charger cables!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Epicurus		</title>
		<link>https://www.theev-angelist.com/its-never-too-early-to-start-planning/#comment-2586</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Epicurus]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jun 2018 04:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.theev-angelist.com/?p=5034#comment-2586</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Henrik Fisker (the Fisker Karma guy) has filed patents on a solid state battery which will provide EVs a 500 mile range and which can be re-charged in ONE MINUTE.  He expects it to be available commercially for EVs in 3 to 5 years, earlier for consumer electronics.  He expects it to be 1/3rd the cost of current lithium ion batteries.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhP40Dff04Y

Several companies are working on similar battery innovations.  Samsung allegedly has developed one.

Exciting times ahead.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Henrik Fisker (the Fisker Karma guy) has filed patents on a solid state battery which will provide EVs a 500 mile range and which can be re-charged in ONE MINUTE.  He expects it to be available commercially for EVs in 3 to 5 years, earlier for consumer electronics.  He expects it to be 1/3rd the cost of current lithium ion batteries.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhP40Dff04Y" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhP40Dff04Y</a></p>
<p>Several companies are working on similar battery innovations.  Samsung allegedly has developed one.</p>
<p>Exciting times ahead.</p>
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